Meyrin vs Naters analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.7%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.4%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.2%
12.1%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+33%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
52
2º
11º
3º
32
9º
16º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 77 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 58 |
2º
|
87.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
52 | 55 |
3º
|
53% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 54 |
4º
|
65.5% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 50 |
5º
|
84% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
84% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
80% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 38 |
8º
|
55% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
55% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 34 |
10º
|
23.5% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
42.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
42.5% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
52.5% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
40% | |
|
15º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
96% | |
|
16º
|
26 | 26 |
16º
|
96% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
12.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
87.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Meyrin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
VEV
2 - 2
MEY
55%
23%
23%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2022 |
FCC
0 - 1
MEY
32%
22%
46%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
MEY
0 - 4
WIN
8%
15%
78%
|
39 | 63 | 24 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
MEY
0 - 1
FCM
51%
23%
26%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
CON
0 - 1
MEY
21%
19%
60%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Naters
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
NAT
2 - 3
FCC
48%
21%
31%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
FCM
2 - 0
NAT
69%
17%
14%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
NAT
1 - 1
CON
64%
18%
19%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
GRA
4 - 2
NAT
31%
22%
47%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | -2 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
NAT
1 - 5
SEC
54%
21%
25%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | -1 |