Liga MX Sub 20 - Apertura Round 11

Toluca U20 vs Chivas Guadalajara U20 analysis

Toluca U20 Chivas Guadalajara U20
39 ELO 52
-1.5% Tilt -7.5%
31904º General ELO ranking 28513º
242º Country ELO ranking 202º
ELO win probability
22.6%
Toluca U20
22.8%
Draw
54.6%
Chivas Guadalajara U20

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.6%
Win probability
Toluca U20
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.1%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
54.6%
Win probability
Chivas Guadalajara U20
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.5%
0-2
9%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Toluca U20
+69%
+19%
Chivas Guadalajara U20

ELO progression

Toluca U20
Chivas Guadalajara U20
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Toluca U20
Toluca U20
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Sep. 2014
QUE
Querétaro U20
0 - 0
Toluca U20
MEX
43%
24%
33%
39 38 1 0
21 Sep. 2014
MEX
Toluca U20
1 - 1
Monterrey U20
MON
35%
25%
40%
39 46 7 0
13 Sep. 2014
CAZ
Cruz Azul U20
0 - 1
Toluca U20
MEX
57%
23%
20%
38 43 5 +1
31 Aug. 2014
MEX
Toluca U20
2 - 1
Veracruz U20
VER
71%
17%
12%
38 28 10 0
23 Aug. 2014
SAN
Santos Laguna U20
1 - 1
Toluca U20
MEX
61%
22%
17%
38 44 6 0

Matches

Chivas Guadalajara U20
Chivas Guadalajara U20
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Sep. 2014
GUA
Chivas Guadalajara U20
2 - 0
Puebla U20
PUE
64%
21%
15%
51 41 10 0
21 Sep. 2014
GUA
Chivas Guadalajara U20
0 - 0
Querétaro U20
QUE
71%
18%
10%
52 38 14 -1
13 Sep. 2014
MON
Monterrey U20
1 - 2
Chivas Guadalajara U20
GUA
35%
25%
41%
51 47 4 +1
07 Sep. 2014
GUA
Chivas Guadalajara U20
0 - 1
U. Guadalajara U20
UNG
72%
18%
10%
52 36 16 -1
31 Aug. 2014
GUA
Chivas Guadalajara U20
1 - 0
Cruz Azul U20
CAZ
61%
21%
18%
51 44 7 +1