Metz vs Vannes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.3%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.9%
16.9%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2008 |
BRE
2 - 1
MET
33%
30%
38%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2008 |
MET
0 - 0
BAS
59%
23%
17%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2008 |
CHA
1 - 1
MET
31%
30%
39%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2008 |
MET
2 - 0
SED
55%
25%
20%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2008 |
DIJ
0 - 1
MET
34%
29%
38%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Vannes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2008 |
VAN
1 - 0
REI
57%
25%
18%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2008 |
MPL
3 - 1
VAN
51%
27%
22%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2008 |
VAN
0 - 0
USB
45%
27%
28%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2008 |
AMI
0 - 2
VAN
52%
26%
23%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2008 |
VAN
0 - 0
GUI
47%
27%
26%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |