Metz vs Valenciennes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.8%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
31.7%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2009 |
MET
0 - 0
DIJ
60%
24%
16%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2009 |
MET
1 - 1
TOU
55%
26%
19%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
NÎM
1 - 1
MET
33%
28%
39%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2009 |
MET
2 - 1
TOU
56%
25%
20%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2009 |
MET
1 - 0
BAS
61%
24%
15%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Valenciennes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
SOC
2 - 5
VAL
49%
27%
24%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
VAL
1 - 1
USB
56%
24%
19%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
TFC
0 - 1
VAL
51%
27%
22%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
VAL
2 - 3
PSG
35%
29%
36%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
LYO
1 - 0
VAL
74%
18%
9%
|
79 | 90 | 11 | 0 |