Ligue 1 - Play Offs Promotion Final
Global 4-2
Metz vs Stade de Reims analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.2%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
32%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2025 |
MET
1 - 0
DUN
58%
22%
20%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
STL
2 - 3
MET
32%
26%
42%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2025 |
MET
3 - 3
ROD
55%
23%
22%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
PAU
2 - 1
MET
24%
26%
50%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
MET
2 - 2
RED
66%
20%
14%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Stade de Reims
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2025 |
LIL
2 - 1
REI
71%
19%
10%
|
88 | 96 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
REI
0 - 2
ASS
48%
25%
28%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2025 |
NIC
1 - 0
REI
59%
24%
18%
|
88 | 92 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
MPL
0 - 0
REI
38%
26%
36%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2025 |
REI
1 - 0
TFC
37%
26%
37%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |