Metz vs Red Star analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.6%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
22.4%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2016 |
BOU
0 - 3
MET
42%
27%
32%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2016 |
AUX
4 - 0
MET
40%
28%
33%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2016 |
MET
2 - 0
NIO
58%
24%
19%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2016 |
PFC
1 - 2
MET
25%
28%
47%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2016 |
MET
3 - 2
AJA
52%
26%
22%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Red Star
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2016 |
RED
0 - 2
NIO
57%
24%
19%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2016 |
AJA
1 - 2
RED
38%
29%
33%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2016 |
RED
2 - 4
PFC
67%
22%
11%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2016 |
CLE
0 - 2
RED
44%
28%
28%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2016 |
RED
0 - 2
AUX
49%
27%
24%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |