Metz vs Montpellier analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.6%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.1%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
54.1%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
NIC
0 - 0
MET
71%
19%
10%
|
67 | 82 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2017 |
PSG
2 - 0
MET
84%
11%
4%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
LEN
2 - 0
MET
42%
27%
32%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2016 |
MET
2 - 2
GUI
28%
27%
46%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
CAE
3 - 0
MET
47%
27%
26%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Montpellier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
MPL
1 - 1
DIJ
57%
23%
20%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
LYO
5 - 0
MPL
64%
20%
16%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2016 |
NAN
1 - 0
MPL
35%
27%
38%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
MPL
4 - 0
GIR
39%
27%
34%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2016 |
NAN
3 - 1
MPL
32%
27%
41%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | -1 |