Metz vs Lille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.3%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
16%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
17.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.5%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
21.6%
10.1%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 1997 |
NIC
3 - 0
MET
28%
29%
43%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1997 |
MET
1 - 0
BAS
53%
25%
22%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1997 |
REN
1 - 3
MET
45%
27%
28%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 1997 |
MET
1 - 0
AUX
41%
28%
32%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1997 |
MET
2 - 0
GUI
56%
25%
19%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 1997 |
LIL
2 - 2
LHA
40%
27%
33%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1997 |
LYO
0 - 0
LIL
73%
18%
9%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1997 |
LIL
0 - 1
PSG
19%
24%
57%
|
74 | 89 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1997 |
LEN
1 - 0
LIL
71%
19%
11%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 1997 |
LIL
1 - 2
CAN
37%
28%
35%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |