Ligue 1 Round 22

Metz vs Lille analysis

Metz Lille
72 ELO 79
-5.3% Tilt 7.5%
204º General ELO ranking 21º
16º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
43.4%
Metz
23.5%
Draw
33.1%
Lille

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.4%
Win probability
Metz
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
33.1%
Win probability
Lille
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Metz
+9%
-3%
Lille

ELO progression

Metz
Lille
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Metz
Metz
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Jan. 1956
TRO
Troyes
1 - 1
Metz
MET
51%
20%
29%
71 69 2 0
15 Jan. 1956
MET
Metz
2 - 3
Lens
LEN
43%
23%
34%
72 79 7 -1
01 Jan. 1956
RAC
RC France
1 - 2
Metz
MET
65%
18%
17%
71 78 7 +1
18 Dec. 1955
MET
Metz
1 - 1
Girondins Bordeaux
GIR
41%
24%
36%
71 81 10 0
11 Dec. 1955
MET
Metz
1 - 1
Stade de Reims
REI
26%
23%
51%
71 87 16 0

Matches

Lille
Lille
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Jan. 1956
LIL
Lille
6 - 1
RC France
RAC
54%
22%
24%
79 78 1 0
15 Jan. 1956
LIL
Lille
4 - 1
Olympique Lyonnais
LYO
58%
22%
20%
78 76 2 +1
01 Jan. 1956
ASS
Saint-Étienne
4 - 1
Lille
LIL
56%
22%
23%
79 79 0 -1
18 Dec. 1955
LIL
Lille
1 - 2
Nancy
ASN
55%
22%
23%
79 76 3 0
11 Dec. 1955
LIL
Lille
0 - 3
Olympique Marseille
MAR
55%
22%
23%
80 79 1 -1