Metz vs Guingamp analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.6%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.3%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
45.8%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.7%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
CAE
3 - 0
MET
47%
27%
26%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2016 |
MET
1 - 1
TFC
31%
25%
44%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
BAS
2 - 0
MET
50%
27%
23%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2016 |
ASN
4 - 0
MET
51%
26%
23%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
MET
3 - 3
LOR
37%
26%
37%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Guingamp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
GUI
2 - 1
PSG
20%
23%
58%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2016 |
LYO
2 - 2
GUI
67%
20%
13%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
ASS
1 - 0
GUI
47%
28%
25%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
GUI
2 - 0
NAN
55%
25%
20%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2016 |
GUI
0 - 1
NIC
40%
26%
34%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |