Ligue 1 Round 33

Metz vs Guingamp analysis

Metz Guingamp
85 ELO 81
-13.6% Tilt -19.1%
208º General ELO ranking 453º
16º Country ELO ranking 23º
ELO win probability
56.4%
Metz
25%
Draw
18.6%
Guingamp

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.5%
Win probability
Metz
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
25%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25%
18.6%
Win probability
Guingamp
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Metz
+10%
-4%
Guingamp

ELO progression

Metz
Guingamp
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Metz
Metz
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Apr. 1997
LHA
Le Havre
0 - 0
Metz
MET
34%
30%
37%
85 79 6 0
26 Mar. 1997
MET
Metz
0 - 1
Olympique Lyonnais
LYO
49%
26%
26%
85 84 1 0
23 Mar. 1997
PSG
PSG
2 - 0
Metz
MET
64%
22%
14%
86 89 3 -1
15 Mar. 1997
MET
Metz
2 - 0
Lens
LEN
56%
25%
19%
85 83 2 +1
08 Mar. 1997
CAN
Cannes
0 - 0
Metz
MET
38%
29%
33%
85 81 4 0

Matches

Guingamp
Guingamp
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Apr. 1997
GUI
Guingamp
1 - 1
Caen
CAE
52%
27%
22%
82 77 5 0
29 Mar. 1997
LUS
Creteil
1 - 3
Guingamp
GUI
20%
26%
54%
81 62 19 +1
26 Mar. 1997
LHA
Le Havre
0 - 1
Guingamp
GUI
41%
29%
30%
81 79 2 0
22 Mar. 1997
GUI
Guingamp
2 - 1
Strasbourg
STR
33%
28%
39%
81 85 4 0
15 Mar. 1997
LYO
Olympique Lyonnais
2 - 1
Guingamp
GUI
58%
24%
18%
81 84 3 0