Metz vs FC Gueugnon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.8%
13.2%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2003 |
AMI
1 - 0
MET
24%
28%
48%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2003 |
MET
1 - 0
GRE
69%
20%
11%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2003 |
CAE
1 - 0
MET
28%
27%
45%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2003 |
MET
2 - 1
STL
68%
20%
12%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2003 |
SOC
3 - 2
MET
56%
25%
19%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
FC Gueugnon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2003 |
FCG
1 - 1
IST
58%
24%
19%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2003 |
TFC
0 - 1
FCG
59%
24%
17%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2003 |
FCG
2 - 2
REI
59%
24%
17%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2003 |
LUS
2 - 2
FCG
40%
28%
32%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2003 |
LOR
0 - 1
FCG
62%
23%
15%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |