Metz vs Bastia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.4%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
29.1%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2001 |
MON
6 - 1
MET
65%
21%
13%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2001 |
SED
0 - 0
MET
52%
26%
22%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2001 |
DIE
1 - 2
MET
5%
22%
74%
|
84 | 36 | 48 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2001 |
MET
2 - 2
REN
50%
26%
24%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2001 |
ESW
3 - 1
MET
22%
28%
50%
|
84 | 63 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2001 |
BAS
0 - 1
SED
54%
25%
22%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2001 |
MON
2 - 1
BAS
58%
24%
19%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2001 |
REN
1 - 2
BAS
50%
25%
26%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2001 |
ANN
0 - 3
BAS
2%
15%
83%
|
85 | 10 | 75 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2001 |
BAS
3 - 1
STR
57%
24%
19%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |