Metz vs Bastia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.9%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
21.6%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 1969 |
LYO
0 - 1
MET
51%
26%
24%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1969 |
STR
1 - 1
MET
49%
26%
25%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1969 |
MET
3 - 0
REN
48%
24%
28%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 1969 |
FCR
1 - 0
MET
55%
24%
21%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 1969 |
MET
1 - 0
NIC
53%
24%
23%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 1969 |
BAS
3 - 0
VAL
42%
23%
35%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1969 |
BAS
2 - 1
RED
61%
22%
16%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 1969 |
BAS
4 - 0
LYO
51%
25%
24%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 1969 |
REN
3 - 1
BAS
60%
21%
20%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 1969 |
BAS
2 - 2
NÎM
55%
23%
22%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |