Metz II vs Nancy II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.5%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.9%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
33.7%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metz II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
MET
0 - 3
SAR
26%
22%
52%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
FOR
0 - 4
MET
37%
24%
38%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | +2 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
LUN
0 - 2
MET
52%
21%
27%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
MET
1 - 1
FCS
40%
25%
35%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
MET
1 - 1
ILL
56%
21%
23%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Nancy II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
ILL
4 - 2
NAN
32%
24%
44%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
NAN
1 - 2
STR
50%
23%
27%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
FOR
1 - 2
NAN
29%
24%
46%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
NAN
2 - 1
MEZ
64%
18%
18%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
NAN
1 - 2
SAR
33%
23%
44%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | 0 |