MetroStars vs Sturt Lions analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.1%
Win probability
3.28
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.1%
6-0
3.5%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.6%
5-0
6.3%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.9%
4-0
9.7%
5-1
4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.4%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.3%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.1%
8.8%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
8.8%
4%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.1%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
53
1º
6º
1º
16
9º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
53 | 56 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 53 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
31 | 34 |
3º
|
43.5% | |
|
3º
|
31 | 32 |
4º
|
38.5% | |
|
5º
|
30 | 30 |
5º
|
92.5% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 28 |
6º
|
31.5% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 27 |
7º
|
34.5% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 26 |
8º
|
28% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
49% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 20 |
10º
|
93.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
16 | 16 |
11º
|
77.5% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 15 |
12º
|
84% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 6.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 93.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MetroStars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
ADO
1 - 5
NEM
14%
18%
68%
|
43 | 24 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
NEM
4 - 0
ADE
57%
22%
21%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
1 - 2
NEM
20%
20%
59%
|
42 | 27 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
NEM
5 - 1
SAP
83%
11%
6%
|
42 | 21 | 21 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
WAD
2 - 3
NEM
11%
17%
72%
|
41 | 19 | 22 | +1 |
Matches
Sturt Lions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
SLF
2 - 3
MOD
33%
21%
46%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
SLF
2 - 0
ADE
15%
18%
68%
|
19 | 31 | 12 | +2 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
ADO
3 - 0
SLF
62%
19%
20%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
SLF
2 - 2
ADE
10%
15%
76%
|
18 | 38 | 20 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
1 - 4
SLF
85%
10%
5%
|
17 | 31 | 14 | +1 |