Apertura Venezuela Normal Season Round 1

Metropolitanos vs Aragua FC analysis

Metropolitanos Aragua FC
64 ELO 65
-9.4% Tilt -16.8%
1409º General ELO ranking 2922º
Country ELO ranking 21º
ELO win probability
46.1%
Metropolitanos
28.5%
Draw
25.4%
Aragua FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.1%
Win probability
Metropolitanos
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.4%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
24.8%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
11.3%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
25.4%
Win probability
Aragua FC
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Metropolitanos
-24%
-12%
Aragua FC

ELO progression

Metropolitanos
Aragua FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Metropolitanos
Metropolitanos
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Nov. 2019
TAC
Deportivo Táchira
4 - 0
Metropolitanos
MET
67%
20%
13%
65 72 7 0
16 Nov. 2019
MET
Metropolitanos
2 - 0
Deportivo Táchira
TAC
26%
27%
48%
63 73 10 +2
13 Nov. 2019
MET
Metropolitanos
0 - 2
Monagas
MON
46%
26%
29%
65 61 4 -2
10 Nov. 2019
MET
Metropolitanos
1 - 1
Aragua FC
ARA
43%
27%
31%
65 64 1 0
06 Nov. 2019
MON
Monagas
1 - 2
Metropolitanos
MET
48%
24%
27%
64 63 1 +1

Matches

Aragua FC
Aragua FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Jan. 2020
ARA
Aragua FC
0 - 1
Gran Valencia
GVA
72%
19%
9%
64 41 23 0
16 Jan. 2020
ARA
Aragua FC
0 - 2
Llaneros de Guanare
LLA
49%
25%
26%
65 57 8 -1
15 Jan. 2020
ARA
Aragua FC
0 - 1
Trujillanos
TRU
42%
26%
32%
65 61 4 0
14 Jan. 2020
ZAM
Zamora FC
0 - 1
Aragua FC
ARA
63%
22%
15%
65 71 6 0
13 Jan. 2020
ARA
Aragua FC
3 - 0
Inter De Barinas
BAR
64%
21%
15%
64 49 15 +1