Metropolitano vs CA Tubarão analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.6%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
25.8%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metropolitano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2016 |
MET
0 - 2
CAX
53%
24%
23%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2016 |
ITU
5 - 0
MET
67%
21%
12%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | -1 |
| 03 Jul. 2016 |
GRE
2 - 2
MET
47%
26%
27%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Jun. 2016 |
MET
2 - 0
GRE
45%
25%
29%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Jun. 2016 |
MET
0 - 2
ITU
28%
28%
45%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | -2 |
Matches
CA Tubarão
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
TUB
1 - 0
LIT
49%
24%
28%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
LIT
3 - 1
TUB
34%
26%
40%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
TUB
2 - 0
LIT
53%
23%
24%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
JUV
0 - 1
TUB
40%
27%
34%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
TUB
9 - 1
POR
72%
18%
10%
|
46 | 27 | 19 | 0 |