Metropolitan Police vs Chipstead analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.4%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
13%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metropolitan Police
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
MET
1 - 1
TOW
79%
14%
7%
|
38 | 22 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2011 |
BUR
2 - 2
MET
37%
26%
37%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
WHY
1 - 2
MET
19%
24%
57%
|
38 | 21 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
MET
3 - 0
BUR
57%
22%
22%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2011 |
GOD
2 - 0
MET
25%
25%
50%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | -2 |
Matches
Chipstead
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
CHI
2 - 2
CHA
62%
21%
17%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
DUL
3 - 2
CHI
51%
24%
25%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
CHI
0 - 1
SIT
58%
22%
21%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
CHI
2 - 1
FAV
36%
24%
40%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | +2 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
CHI
1 - 1
WHI
25%
23%
52%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | +1 |