Metropolitan Police vs Bashley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.8%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
21.8%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metropolitan Police
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2006 |
MOL
3 - 2
MET
26%
25%
49%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2006 |
MET
1 - 1
MIL
71%
18%
12%
|
41 | 27 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2006 |
KIN
2 - 0
MET
44%
25%
31%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2006 |
MET
3 - 0
BUR
65%
20%
15%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2006 |
MET
0 - 1
MOL
75%
16%
9%
|
43 | 26 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Bashley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2006 |
ATK
2 - 0
BAS
22%
23%
55%
|
38 | 22 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2006 |
BAS
3 - 2
KIN
35%
25%
40%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2006 |
BAS
2 - 1
MOL
64%
20%
16%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2006 |
BUR
0 - 1
BAS
44%
24%
32%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2006 |
BAS
0 - 1
RAM
38%
26%
36%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | -1 |