Metalurh Donetsk vs FC Mariupol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
21%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
15%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metalurh Donetsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2011 |
MED
4 - 0
KRY
62%
22%
17%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
DNI
1 - 0
MED
59%
23%
18%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
MED
1 - 0
KRY
58%
23%
18%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
ARS
1 - 0
MED
49%
26%
26%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2011 |
MED
2 - 1
KPT
46%
26%
28%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
FC Mariupol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
ILL
2 - 1
OBO
49%
26%
26%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2011 |
PFC
1 - 2
ILL
52%
25%
22%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
ILL
0 - 1
MET
22%
27%
51%
|
67 | 85 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2011 |
TAV
3 - 2
ILL
67%
20%
13%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2011 |
VOL
7 - 1
ILL
58%
22%
21%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | -1 |