Q. Europa League 2da Ronda. Final
Global 11-2
Metalurh Donetsk vs Celik Niksic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.9%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.2%
7.9%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metalurh Donetsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2012 |
DYN
1 - 0
MED
65%
20%
15%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2012 |
MED
0 - 2
SHA
27%
23%
50%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2012 |
ILL
2 - 1
MED
31%
28%
42%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
MED
1 - 2
SHA
28%
23%
49%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2012 |
MED
0 - 3
DNI
41%
26%
32%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Celik Niksic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2012 |
FKC
1 - 1
BBL
31%
28%
41%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2012 |
BBL
2 - 2
FKC
72%
18%
10%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2012 |
FKC
2 - 1
RUD
33%
25%
42%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2012 |
FKC
3 - 0
JED
44%
24%
32%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | +2 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
FKC
2 - 0
IGA
67%
20%
13%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |