Mestre vs Vigasio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.1%
Win probability
2.92
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.4%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.8%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.8%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.2%
12.1%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.1%
6.8%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mestre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
MON
0 - 2
MES
13%
20%
67%
|
41 | 23 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
CAL
0 - 1
MES
23%
21%
56%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
MES
3 - 1
VIL
82%
13%
6%
|
41 | 22 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
LEG
0 - 0
MES
25%
23%
52%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2020 |
MES
1 - 2
CHI
82%
12%
6%
|
42 | 24 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Vigasio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
VIG
1 - 0
SAN
33%
22%
45%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
VIL
1 - 2
VIG
41%
23%
36%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
VIG
1 - 3
CLO
31%
22%
47%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
CAL
2 - 1
VIG
58%
20%
22%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2020 |
VIG
3 - 0
GSD
23%
21%
56%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | +2 |