ACR Messina vs US Vibonese Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.2%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
+4
8.3%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.3%
7.5%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
ACP
0 - 3
MES
41%
26%
33%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
MES
0 - 0
COM
75%
16%
10%
|
41 | 27 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
COM
1 - 1
MES
28%
25%
47%
|
42 | 28 | 14 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
MES
2 - 1
CIT
56%
23%
21%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
RIB
3 - 0
MES
32%
25%
43%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | -3 |
Matches
US Vibonese Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
USV
1 - 2
LIC
31%
24%
45%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
CAV
2 - 1
USV
75%
18%
8%
|
30 | 52 | 22 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
USV
2 - 0
ASD
20%
25%
55%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | +3 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
GEL
2 - 0
USV
53%
23%
24%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
USV
2 - 0
FCS
22%
24%
54%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | +2 |