ACR Messina vs Ternana Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.4%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
28.9%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2003 |
NAP
1 - 0
MES
51%
27%
23%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2003 |
MES
3 - 3
SAM
39%
27%
33%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2003 |
MES
2 - 0
SAL
51%
25%
25%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2002 |
TRI
2 - 1
MES
55%
25%
20%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2002 |
MES
2 - 1
PAL
51%
25%
24%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Ternana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2003 |
VIC
1 - 0
TER
62%
21%
17%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2003 |
TER
1 - 1
NAP
45%
26%
30%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2003 |
GEN
1 - 0
TER
50%
24%
26%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2002 |
CAT
3 - 1
TER
24%
26%
50%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2002 |
TER
2 - 1
BAR
45%
27%
28%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |