ACR Messina vs Ternana Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.9%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
43.5%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2001 |
MES
0 - 0
VIC
21%
26%
53%
|
64 | 80 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2001 |
CAG
0 - 0
MES
69%
20%
11%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2001 |
MES
1 - 0
CRO
41%
26%
33%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2001 |
PES
0 - 3
MES
52%
25%
24%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2001 |
AVE
1 - 0
MES
42%
29%
30%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Ternana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2001 |
TER
1 - 1
CHI
49%
25%
26%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2001 |
TER
3 - 0
SIE
68%
20%
12%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2001 |
TER
3 - 1
PIS
64%
21%
15%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2001 |
ACP
0 - 2
TER
13%
21%
66%
|
73 | 47 | 26 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2001 |
TER
0 - 0
CRO
69%
19%
13%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |