ACR Messina vs Rios Renovables Ribera Nava analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.5%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
22%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
16.4%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
AGR
0 - 1
MES
36%
26%
38%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
MES
2 - 0
NOT
71%
18%
11%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
ACI
0 - 1
MES
17%
25%
57%
|
44 | 30 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
NIS
0 - 4
MES
17%
25%
58%
|
43 | 28 | 15 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
MES
1 - 0
RAG
73%
17%
11%
|
43 | 29 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Rios Renovables Ribera Nava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2013 |
CAV
1 - 0
RIO
59%
23%
18%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
RIO
2 - 1
LIC
41%
23%
36%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
RIO
2 - 2
ASD
60%
21%
19%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
RIO
3 - 1
GEL
52%
23%
25%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
USV
2 - 0
RIO
31%
26%
44%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | -1 |