ACR Messina vs Monopoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.8%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
22.7%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
ISC
0 - 0
MES
40%
28%
32%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
MES
0 - 5
BEN
19%
25%
56%
|
47 | 60 | 13 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
MES
3 - 0
MAR
59%
24%
17%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2015 |
CAS
4 - 1
MES
64%
22%
14%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
MES
1 - 1
AKR
38%
26%
37%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Monopoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
MON
0 - 1
AKR
39%
26%
35%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
CAT
0 - 0
MON
84%
12%
4%
|
45 | 69 | 24 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
MON
0 - 2
MAT
28%
28%
45%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
JUS
0 - 0
MON
71%
18%
11%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
MON
1 - 1
FCC
27%
26%
47%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |