ACR Messina vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.1%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.3%
22.6%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 1957 |
MES
0 - 0
NOV
39%
28%
33%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1957 |
ASS
4 - 0
MES
60%
23%
17%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 1957 |
MES
0 - 0
COM
44%
28%
28%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1957 |
PAR
2 - 1
MES
53%
26%
22%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1957 |
VER
2 - 0
MES
67%
20%
13%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 1957 |
MOD
1 - 0
CAG
54%
24%
23%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1957 |
SSS
0 - 2
MOD
57%
23%
20%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 1957 |
MOD
3 - 1
NOV
39%
26%
35%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 1957 |
MOD
2 - 1
ASS
50%
25%
25%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 1957 |
ACM
1 - 0
MOD
65%
21%
14%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |