ACR Messina vs Matera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.7%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.2%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
45.9%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.8%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2015 |
MES
0 - 0
ISC
41%
25%
34%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
PAG
1 - 1
MES
42%
28%
30%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
MES
2 - 0
NUO
24%
25%
52%
|
41 | 54 | 13 | +3 |
| 23 Sep. 2015 |
BEN
0 - 0
MES
75%
18%
8%
|
41 | 61 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
MON
1 - 1
MES
51%
25%
24%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Matera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
MAT
1 - 1
USF
41%
26%
33%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
CAS
0 - 0
MAT
45%
27%
28%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
MAT
0 - 1
CAT
17%
25%
58%
|
55 | 73 | 18 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
FIA
3 - 0
MAT
51%
24%
25%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
MAT
1 - 0
AKR
52%
24%
24%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |