ACR Messina vs Martina Franca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.4%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
22%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
22%
14.7%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+113%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
TER
0 - 1
MES
45%
26%
29%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
MES
1 - 0
SOR
42%
26%
32%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
VIG
1 - 2
MES
30%
28%
42%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
MES
2 - 1
CAS
56%
23%
21%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
ASM
1 - 0
MES
32%
28%
40%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Martina Franca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
MAR
2 - 1
NUO
37%
25%
38%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
CHI
1 - 1
MAR
40%
27%
34%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
MAR
2 - 2
RAA
64%
21%
15%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
MAR
3 - 1
SOR
24%
25%
51%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | +4 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
ISC
0 - 0
MAR
65%
22%
13%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | 0 |