ACR Messina vs Lecce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.5%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.4%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
2%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
6.8%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
19.7%
71.8%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
17.4%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.8%
0-2
16.6%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
22.4%
0-3
10.6%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
13.3%
0-4
5.1%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.1%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
MES
1 - 5
CAS
48%
25%
27%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2014 |
PAG
1 - 0
MES
56%
25%
19%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
MES
0 - 5
MAT
41%
26%
33%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | -2 |
| 12 Sep. 2014 |
REG
0 - 1
MES
78%
15%
6%
|
41 | 60 | 19 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
MES
2 - 2
LRO
49%
25%
26%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
LEC
1 - 0
PAG
84%
13%
4%
|
73 | 47 | 26 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2014 |
FCS
0 - 0
LEC
10%
20%
69%
|
73 | 46 | 27 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2014 |
LEC
2 - 0
REG
70%
19%
12%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
MAT
0 - 0
LEC
9%
20%
72%
|
72 | 47 | 25 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
LEC
1 - 0
SSB
82%
14%
5%
|
72 | 51 | 21 | 0 |