ACR Messina vs Ischia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.4%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
30.3%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
FCC
0 - 0
MES
73%
19%
8%
|
39 | 60 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2015 |
MES
0 - 0
MAR
45%
27%
29%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
RAA
1 - 1
MES
50%
26%
25%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
MES
0 - 0
NUO
25%
25%
51%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
USF
2 - 0
MES
72%
19%
10%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Ischia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
ISC
1 - 1
NUO
20%
25%
55%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2015 |
REG
0 - 1
ISC
64%
21%
15%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
ISC
1 - 1
LRO
34%
27%
39%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
JUS
1 - 1
ISC
76%
16%
8%
|
40 | 55 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
ISC
1 - 1
CAS
21%
27%
52%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | +1 |