ACR Messina vs Genoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.4%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
24.2%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2003 |
VIC
2 - 1
MES
67%
21%
13%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2003 |
MES
3 - 2
ASC
54%
25%
22%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2003 |
LEC
1 - 1
MES
62%
23%
16%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2003 |
CAT
1 - 1
MES
36%
29%
36%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2003 |
MES
0 - 0
SIE
50%
26%
24%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2003 |
GEN
0 - 0
VNZ
47%
25%
28%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2003 |
SAL
2 - 2
GEN
38%
27%
35%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2003 |
GEN
1 - 3
CAG
55%
23%
21%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2003 |
BAR
2 - 1
GEN
51%
26%
23%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2003 |
GEN
2 - 0
CAT
68%
20%
13%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | +1 |