ACR Messina vs Crotone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.3%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
17.5%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2001 |
MOD
1 - 1
MES
60%
24%
16%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2001 |
MES
1 - 2
SIE
53%
26%
21%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2001 |
MES
1 - 2
BAR
40%
28%
32%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2001 |
CTT
0 - 1
MES
36%
27%
37%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2001 |
MES
1 - 1
SAM
29%
27%
44%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2001 |
CRO
1 - 2
PIS
55%
23%
22%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2001 |
PAL
2 - 0
CRO
51%
25%
24%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2001 |
TER
3 - 2
CRO
62%
22%
17%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2001 |
CRO
1 - 2
SIE
55%
24%
22%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2001 |
GEN
1 - 1
CRO
76%
16%
8%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |