ACR Messina vs Catanzaro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.1%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
28.1%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
USF
3 - 0
MES
79%
15%
7%
|
47 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
MES
1 - 0
JUS
24%
26%
51%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
FRA
3 - 1
MES
62%
22%
16%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Dec. 2016 |
MES
2 - 0
REG
55%
23%
22%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2016 |
SIR
2 - 0
MES
61%
22%
17%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
PAG
1 - 2
FCC
44%
27%
29%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2017 |
FCC
1 - 2
LEC
15%
23%
62%
|
48 | 63 | 15 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
FIA
1 - 1
FCC
60%
24%
16%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 Dec. 2016 |
FCC
0 - 0
FRA
33%
29%
38%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2016 |
NUO
1 - 1
FCC
60%
23%
17%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |