ACR Messina vs Catania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.5%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
22.1%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 1958 |
PAL
0 - 2
MES
64%
21%
15%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1958 |
MES
3 - 0
PAR
55%
24%
21%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 1958 |
MES
3 - 1
TAR
51%
27%
22%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 1958 |
REG
0 - 0
MES
61%
22%
18%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1958 |
MES
2 - 0
CAG
48%
26%
26%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 1958 |
CAT
0 - 1
ACM
51%
26%
24%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1958 |
CAT
1 - 3
VNZ
52%
26%
22%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 1958 |
BRE
1 - 0
CAT
55%
24%
20%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1958 |
CAG
1 - 1
CAT
51%
25%
24%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1958 |
CAT
3 - 0
PAR
60%
23%
17%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |