ACR Messina vs Ascoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.4%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
17.2%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2005 |
JUV
1 - 0
MES
80%
14%
6%
|
77 | 93 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2005 |
MES
1 - 4
SAM
43%
27%
29%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2005 |
SIE
4 - 2
MES
50%
26%
25%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2005 |
MES
0 - 0
LIV
49%
24%
27%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2005 |
CAG
1 - 1
MES
54%
24%
22%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2005 |
ASC
2 - 1
SAM
27%
28%
46%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2005 |
ASC
3 - 1
PAR
21%
25%
55%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2005 |
LIV
2 - 0
ASC
64%
21%
15%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2005 |
ASC
1 - 1
SIE
29%
28%
43%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2005 |
JUV
2 - 1
ASC
80%
14%
6%
|
68 | 92 | 24 | 0 |