ACR Messina vs Ancona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.9%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.8%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
33.2%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 1991 |
REG
1 - 0
MES
56%
25%
19%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1991 |
MES
2 - 0
AVE
45%
30%
25%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 1991 |
ASL
0 - 0
MES
50%
27%
23%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1991 |
MES
0 - 0
PAL
51%
27%
21%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1991 |
COS
0 - 0
MES
45%
28%
27%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Ancona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 1991 |
PES
2 - 2
ANC
50%
27%
23%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1991 |
ANC
1 - 1
CES
52%
27%
22%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1991 |
VNZ
1 - 2
ANC
42%
29%
29%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1991 |
ANC
2 - 1
LEC
44%
28%
28%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 1991 |
PAL
1 - 1
ANC
36%
30%
34%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | -1 |