ACR Messina vs AC Monza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.4%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
16%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.9%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.4%
14.2%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 1988 |
SSS
1 - 1
MES
41%
33%
27%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1988 |
MES
1 - 1
COS
54%
25%
22%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1988 |
PAD
1 - 0
MES
57%
26%
17%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 1988 |
MES
1 - 1
USC
50%
29%
21%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1988 |
MES
2 - 3
ANC
55%
25%
20%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 1988 |
ASS
0 - 0
PAD
45%
31%
24%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1988 |
GEN
1 - 0
ASS
61%
25%
14%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 1988 |
ASS
1 - 2
COS
44%
28%
28%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1988 |
PIA
1 - 0
ASS
52%
26%
21%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 1988 |
ASS
2 - 0
BRE
38%
33%
29%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | +1 |