Messancy vs Rossignol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.9%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
24.7%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Messancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
SAR
2 - 1
MES
38%
24%
39%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
MES
1 - 2
GOU
51%
22%
27%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
GOU
2 - 1
MES
44%
23%
32%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
OPP
5 - 0
MES
62%
20%
18%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
ROS
0 - 1
MES
36%
24%
41%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Rossignol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
ROS
3 - 1
MON
74%
16%
10%
|
19 | 12 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
OPP
2 - 2
ROS
73%
16%
11%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2014 |
ROS
2 - 2
OPP
23%
23%
55%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
SAI
0 - 0
ROS
37%
24%
39%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
ROS
0 - 1
MES
36%
24%
41%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |