Messancy vs Rossignol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.6%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
30.8%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Messancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
VAU
3 - 1
MES
66%
18%
16%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
LAR
1 - 1
MES
79%
13%
7%
|
16 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
MOR
2 - 0
MES
82%
12%
6%
|
16 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
MEI
4 - 1
MES
81%
12%
7%
|
16 | 28 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
MAR
3 - 2
MES
80%
13%
7%
|
16 | 28 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Rossignol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
ROS
2 - 1
BAS
39%
24%
37%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
VAU
3 - 0
ROS
59%
20%
22%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
ROS
0 - 0
CHA
19%
21%
60%
|
16 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
LAR
5 - 1
ROS
77%
15%
9%
|
16 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
ROS
2 - 2
BOM
11%
17%
72%
|
15 | 36 | 21 | +1 |