Messancy vs Nothomb-Post analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.3%
Win probability
3.2
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.8%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.5%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.7%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.9%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.5%
11%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11%
6.7%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
+74%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Messancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
FLO
0 - 3
MES
16%
18%
66%
|
28 | 16 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
OPP
2 - 1
MES
68%
17%
16%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
MES
0 - 1
RES
63%
18%
19%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
CHA
1 - 1
MES
21%
20%
59%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
MES
7 - 2
ERE
72%
15%
13%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Nothomb-Post
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
NOP
3 - 5
OPP
14%
18%
69%
|
17 | 37 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
RES
6 - 0
NOP
76%
14%
10%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
NOP
4 - 1
CHA
25%
20%
55%
|
15 | 21 | 6 | +2 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
ERE
2 - 1
NOP
72%
16%
13%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
NOP
1 - 7
LOR
13%
17%
71%
|
16 | 33 | 17 | 0 |