Messancy vs Libramontois analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.1%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.1%
21%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
21%
34.9%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Messancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
HBN
6 - 2
MES
60%
20%
20%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2023 |
USA
3 - 4
MES
11%
15%
74%
|
27 | 9 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
MES
4 - 1
VAU
48%
21%
32%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | +2 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
CHA
1 - 0
MES
27%
22%
50%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
MES
2 - 2
LAR
56%
20%
24%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Libramontois
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
LIB
1 - 3
MEI
53%
23%
25%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2023 |
LIB
3 - 1
LOR
33%
24%
43%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | +2 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
LIB
3 - 4
RIC
24%
22%
54%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
ROC
0 - 2
LIB
84%
11%
6%
|
26 | 47 | 21 | +2 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
LIB
3 - 3
HER
32%
23%
45%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |