Mesquita FC vs Barra Mansa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.5%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.2%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.1%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
46%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mesquita FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
TFC
1 - 3
MES
51%
23%
26%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2011 |
MES
0 - 3
BON
16%
21%
63%
|
29 | 47 | 18 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
IFC
1 - 0
MES
52%
22%
26%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2011 |
MES
3 - 0
AFC
47%
24%
29%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
ANG
3 - 0
MES
47%
22%
30%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Barra Mansa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
BAR
1 - 1
BON
26%
23%
51%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2011 |
AFC
0 - 3
BAR
28%
24%
48%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
BAR
2 - 0
SCR
54%
22%
24%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2011 |
SAO
1 - 2
BAR
56%
21%
23%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
BAR
0 - 1
SER
50%
23%
27%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | -1 |