Mes Shahr Babak vs Fard analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.4%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
20.3%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+568%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mes Shahr Babak
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2025 |
SPF
0 - 0
MSB
60%
25%
15%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2025 |
MSB
2 - 1
PAR
46%
28%
26%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2025 |
MSB
4 - 1
NIR
47%
29%
24%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2025 |
SNF
1 - 0
MSB
41%
31%
28%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2025 |
MSB
1 - 1
BES
57%
26%
17%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Fard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2025 |
ALB
0 - 0
NAF
34%
27%
39%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2025 |
SHE
1 - 0
ALB
57%
22%
21%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
DBF
0 - 3
ALB
41%
25%
34%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | +2 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
ALB
1 - 0
ESZ
54%
24%
23%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2025 |
SRA
1 - 2
ALB
43%
26%
31%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | +2 |