Mes Kerman vs Ario analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
11%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
15.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.1%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
11.6%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.8%
21.3%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mes Kerman
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2024 |
DAM
0 - 0
SMK
27%
31%
41%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2024 |
EST
1 - 0
SMK
64%
22%
14%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2024 |
SMK
2 - 0
SHA
59%
24%
17%
|
63 | 41 | 22 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
PAR
2 - 1
SMK
33%
31%
36%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
SMK
2 - 1
NAF
53%
28%
19%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Ario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
FCA
0 - 1
SAI
33%
30%
37%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
PAY
0 - 0
FCA
55%
27%
19%
|
53 | 70 | 17 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
NAF
0 - 1
FCA
42%
28%
30%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
FCA
0 - 0
SHA
57%
24%
20%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
NAF
1 - 1
FCA
59%
22%
19%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | 0 |