Merw vs Ahal FT analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.6%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
65.8%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.9%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.3%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Merw
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2023 |
FKA
8 - 3
MER
25%
25%
50%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2023 |
AHA
4 - 0
MER
77%
15%
8%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2023 |
AGA
2 - 1
MER
48%
25%
27%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2023 |
MER
1 - 1
RAV
73%
17%
10%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
MER
1 - 1
BFT
27%
23%
50%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Ahal FT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2023 |
ARK
2 - 1
AHA
46%
23%
31%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2023 |
AHA
3 - 1
KAS
53%
23%
24%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2023 |
AHA
4 - 0
MER
77%
15%
8%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2023 |
AHA
1 - 2
AIN
9%
15%
77%
|
52 | 76 | 24 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
AHA
3 - 1
EFT
82%
12%
6%
|
52 | 36 | 16 | 0 |