Merw vs Şagadam analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.2%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
36.1%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Merw
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
AHA
3 - 1
MER
55%
23%
22%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2022 |
MER
0 - 0
ALT
33%
25%
42%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2022 |
BFT
3 - 2
MER
26%
25%
49%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2022 |
MER
2 - 1
AGA
58%
22%
20%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
EFT
1 - 2
MER
20%
24%
57%
|
49 | 35 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Şagadam
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
AGA
5 - 2
KAS
45%
27%
28%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
AGA
0 - 0
EFT
75%
17%
8%
|
52 | 35 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2022 |
AHA
1 - 0
AGA
49%
25%
26%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2022 |
AGA
1 - 1
ALT
36%
26%
39%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
BFT
0 - 1
AGA
21%
24%
56%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | 0 |