FAI Cup 1/16
Global 1-5
Mervue United vs Sporting Fingal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.9%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.1%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.2%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.6%
73.4%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
12.6%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.7%
0-3
9.9%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15%
0-4
5.8%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
8.1%
0-5
2.7%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.6%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mervue United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2010 |
MER
1 - 3
FIN
34%
25%
42%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2010 |
MON
4 - 0
MER
76%
16%
8%
|
36 | 59 | 23 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 2010 |
MER
0 - 1
SHE
20%
24%
57%
|
36 | 59 | 23 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2010 |
SAL
2 - 0
MER
44%
24%
33%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Jul. 2010 |
MER
2 - 4
CAO
18%
24%
58%
|
38 | 65 | 27 | -1 |
Matches
Sporting Fingal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2010 |
GAL
0 - 1
SFI
35%
27%
39%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2010 |
SFI
3 - 3
SHR
42%
28%
30%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2010 |
STP
1 - 1
SFI
49%
26%
25%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2010 |
SFI
2 - 3
MAR
38%
26%
36%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2010 |
SFI
1 - 2
DRO
63%
22%
14%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | -1 |